by Michael H. Wasserman
We are now four full weeks into the Illinois Stay-at-Home regimen. Hopefully, the last of winter’s snowfalls are finally behind us. I’m not bike-commuting on the lakefront these days, but the firm is still actively engaged in real estate transactions. Here is our take on the current real estate closing landscape and where we think it is heading.
The good news is that (some) buyers are still buying. (Some)
sellers are still selling. Lenders are still lending out (some) money, and Realtors
are still out in the neighborhoods putting contracts together. The firm is still
closing clients’ contracts.
That initial wave COVID-19 executive actions and stock
market corrections sent a surging tidal wave of fear and panic thru the hearts
of many home buyers. Hundreds of contracts cancelled. Many buyers cut bait and recouped
earnest money deposits without penalty. A startling number quit their contracts
without legal justification and voluntarily gave up some or all of their earnest
deposits. In some instances, tens of thousands of dollars willingly forfeited. A
smaller number of buyers simply refuse to close or give up their earnest money and
their contracts remain unsettled. Thanks to a lot of hard work from my
associate John Aylesworth and our brokers partners, most all of the contracts
we were working on held together. I really think we did well here, taking time
with each of our clients to make sure they were well informed about their
contract rights, that they understood their options at all times and that they made
good decisions on their deals. In spite of March’s upheavals most all of our client
contracts hung tough and have closed or remain pending.
New contract activity hit the brakes hard for us over the
last 30 days. We track new files opened on a weekly basis. I have not seen numbers
this bleak since the last financial melt-down. We know many buyers are side-lined,
unwilling to take the perceived health risks attendant to going out house-hunting
and pending better news from the health authorities. We know many sellers de-listed
or put holds on their marketing efforts. All understandable consequences of the
pandemic.
Clients whose contracts survived the initial panic and clients
presenting new contracts to us are facing two main problems above all others: a
severe tightening in the jumbo mortgage markets and buyer cancellations due to
loss of employment, whether by furlough, termination or businesses that have closed
their doors and turned the lights off for good. It remains an immutable rule in
this business – no job, no income, no mortgage financing. As for jumbo loans, mortgage
lenders facing greater risks and increasing liquidity issues are far less willing
to make large loans these days. This will likely spread to other mortgage
lending niches too. A number of buyers have been able to reconfigure their
financing using co-borrowers, gift funds, family loans and other devices to
overcome changes in lending guidelines. We love finding solutions like these when
problems arise.
Some of our closings over the past month have not be as elegant
as strive for but where there is a will, there is a way. Conveyancing of
properties remains fundamentally the same as it ever was but they ways we accomplish
that conveyancing have evolved quite rapidly. Each lender, each title company,
each municipality, every participant in the closing process has established new
or revised rules and protocols since the virus appeared. These changes are happening
day to day, some better publicized than others. As a result, we in the office are
devoting considerable hours towards keeping up with our service partners to
stay abreast of new developments and analyzing the ways the new rules will impact
our buyers and our sellers. We obsess over contract language and closing
operations for precisely this reason. Our clients deserve and look to us for guidance
and direction in order to make the best of current market conditions.
An encouraging number of new opportunities for us so far this
week. The freeze in new contracts seems to be thawing somewhat. Demand is building
among the buyers and brokers we have been speaking to and we expect that more
and more buyers will continue to re-enter the market as weather warms, COVID
stats glide downward, leases end and school years wind down. A window of
opportunity is emerging from which we expect more contracts being signed and in
greater numbers. Still, we remain concerned by the large numbers of newly
unemployed in our community, the risks of virus resurgence and the longer-term
implications for both sellers and buyers.
Again, it bears repeating. With so many changes in lending rules
and guidelines, so many new title company procedures and requirements, and so local
governmental restrictions all resulting from the recent market volatility, health
worries, buyers and sellers need face an increasing number of risks obstacles and
threats to their real estate plans. We understand these challenges.
We know how
much in on the line. We know how important quality legal representation will be
for all Chicagoland home sellers and buyers as we all move forward into the months
ahead.
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